Predicting the future

预测未来

新概念英语第3册第51课

新概念英语-课文

Predicting the future is notoriously difficult. Who could have imagined, in the mid 1970s, for example, that by the end of the 20th century, computers would be as common in people's homes as TV sets? In the 1970s, computers were common enough, but only in big business, government departments, and large organizations. These were the so - called mainframe machines. Mainframe computers were very large indeed, often occupying whole air - conditioned rooms, employing full - time technicians and run on specially - written software. Though these large machines still exist, many of their functions have been taken over by small powerful personal computers, commonly known as PCs.

No one could have foreseen, in those days, the rise of these machines called PCs, in which people could type in commands instead of punching holes in cards. It has become clear that the Internet - the computers - network is one of the most powerful tools for the 21st century. School children who know how to use the Internet will be at a great advantage over those who don't. There is no doubt that all this new technology is changing the way we work and offering many other ways of working. We no longer have to work at the same time, at the same place every day. People can telecommute in their pajamas if they like. A recent survey in the United States showed that 80% of all companies interviewed were either already using or planning to use the Internet in their business.

One of the greatest benefits of Internet shopping is that it is open seven days a week, 24 hours a day. Shoppers no longer have to queue up in stores during the rush - hour. This is a great convenience for those who are too busy to go to the stores during regular business hours. The Internet also makes it easier for companies to keep in touch with their customers and for people to keep in touch with each other. Companies can e - mail newsletters to their customers. And families and friends can send e - mails to each other instead of writing letters or making phone calls.

Another big advantage of the Internet is the amount of information that is available. There are sites on the Internet that list the full text of books. Some sites allow you to download entire books. Other sites offer encyclopedias, dictionaries, and other reference materials. You can also find newspapers, magazines, and other periodicals on the Internet. And, of course, there are millions of web pages with all kinds of information on them.

Predicting the future of the Internet is also difficult. Some experts believe that the Internet will continue to grow and expand. They think that more and more people will use the Internet, and that it will become even more powerful. Others believe that the Internet will become overcrowded and that its growth will slow down. There are also concerns about security. How can we be sure that our e - mail messages are private? How can we be sure that the information we download from the Internet is accurate? These are all questions that need to be answered as the Internet continues to grow.

But one thing is certain: the Internet has changed our lives, and it will continue to change our lives in the future.

新概念英语-单词和短语

  • notoriously adv.众所周知地
  • mainframe n.主机;大型机
  • occupy v.占据;占用
  • technician n.技术员;技师
  • software n.软件
  • foresee v.预见;预知
  • command n.命令;指令
  • punch v.打孔;穿孔
  • telecommute v.(利用电脑终端机)在家办公
  • survey n.调查;民意调查
  • newsletter n.时事通讯;业务通讯
  • encyclopedia n.百科全书
  • dictionary n.词典;字典
  • reference n.参考;查阅
  • periodical n.期刊;杂志
  • expand v.扩展;发展
  • overcrowded adj.过于拥挤的
  • security n.安全;安全性

新概念英语-翻译

众所周知,预测未来是非常困难的。例如,在20世纪70年代中期,谁能想象得到在20世纪末的时候,计算机在人们的家庭会像电视机一样普及呢?在20世纪70年代,计算机已经相当普及了,但只是在大企业、政府部门和大型组织中使用。这些就是所谓的大型主机。大型计算机确实非常大,常常占据整个装有空调的房间,聘用专职的技术人员,而且得用专门编写的软件才能运行。虽然这些大型计算机仍然存在,但是它们的许多功能已被体积小但功能强大的个人计算机(通常称为PC机)所取代了。

当时,没有人能预见到这些被称为PC机的机器的兴起,在PC机上人们可以输入指令,而不是在卡片上打孔。显然,互联网——计算机网络是21世纪最强大的工具之一。会使用互联网的学龄儿童比不会使用的儿童将具有很大的优势。毫无疑问,所有这些新技术正在改变我们的工作方式,并提供许多其他的工作方式。我们不再需要每天在同一时间、同一地点工作。如果愿意的话,人们可以穿着睡衣在家办公。美国最近的一项调查显示,80%接受采访的公司要么已经在业务中使用互联网,要么正计划使用互联网。

网上购物的最大好处之一是它每周7天、每天24小时营业。购物者不再需要在高峰时段在商店里排队等候。这对于那些太忙而无法在正常营业时间去商店的人来说是非常方便的。互联网也使公司更容易与客户保持联系,也使人们更容易相互保持联系。公司可以向客户发送电子邮件时事通讯。家人和朋友可以互相发送电子邮件,而不用写信或打电话。

互联网的另一个巨大优势是可获取的信息量。互联网上有列出书籍全文的网站。有些网站允许你下载整本书。其他网站提供百科全书、词典和其他参考资料。你还可以在互联网上找到报纸、杂志和其他期刊。当然,还有数百万个包含各种信息的网页。

预测互联网的未来也很困难。一些专家认为,互联网将继续发展和扩张。他们认为,将有越来越多的人使用互联网,而且互联网将变得更加强大。其他人则认为,互联网将变得过于拥挤,其增长速度将会放慢。人们也对安全问题表示担忧。我们如何确保我们的电子邮件是私人的呢?我们如何确保我们从互联网上下载的信息是准确的呢?随着互联网的不断发展,这些都是需要回答的问题。

但有一点是肯定的:互联网已经改变了我们的生活,而且它将继续改变我们的生活。

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